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       The December 2001 Netcraft Web Server Survey is out:


                      http://www.netcraft.com/survey/


                               Top Developers

        Developer November 2001 Percent December 2001 Percent Change
        Apache         20713781   56.81      20497607   56.50  -0.31
        Microsoft      10844419   29.74      11156732   30.75   1.01
        iPlanet         1310502    3.59       1302788    3.59   0.00
        Zeus             800661    2.20        792530    2.18  -0.02

                                Active Sites

        Developer November 2001 Percent December 2001 Percent Change
        Apache          7750275   61.88       8588323   63.34   1.46
        Microsoft       3307207   26.40       3609428   26.62   0.22
        iPlanet          431935    3.45        383078    2.83  -0.62
        Zeus             174052    1.39        172352    1.27  -0.12



  Absolute number of sites found falls

   This month sees a drop in the number of sites found by the survey, for
   only the second time since the survey started in [1]August 1995. The
   previous drop was in [2]August this year, caused by failures and
   business model changes at several mass hosting companies, and the
   aftermath of the Code Red virus. That drop turned out to be a blip
   with the previous trendlines re-establishing themselves the following
   month.

   This time the primary reason is a drop in the number of registered
   domain names, as the number of domains not renewed exceeds new
   registrations. Domains bought during the rampant domain-name
   speculation of late 1999 are now coming up for two-year renewal, and
   many are being abandoned. For example over the last three months the
   number of .com domains has dropped by about 130k, though earlier
   quarters this year still saw increases. Domain-name speculation
   accelerated during 2000, so it will be interesting to see how the
   number of sites changes during 2002. The introduction of the [3]new
   domains like .biz, and increasing internet development in parts of the
   world, will counter the abandonment of existing domains.

   The drop has had particularly evident impact this month at the popular
   registrar [4]register.com, which has seen the number of registered but
   unused sites parked at [5]futuresite.register.com drop by 300k,
   accounting for the drop in Apache numbers this month. Note that this
   does not necessarily demonstrate that register.com's business is
   harder hit than other registrars, though as register.com was one of
   the earliest popular alternative registrars it would perhaps see large
   numbers of non-renewals earlier than some other registrars. Even if
   many domains are not renewed, this does not mean registrars are in
   trouble; many domains will be renewed providing an increase in
   business compared to earlier this year, just not at the amazing levels
   of two years previously.

   Of course there is not a direct linkage between the number of
   registered domains and the number of sites in the Netcraft survey. On
   the one hand domains may not have any websites, and on the other hand
   sub-domains permit multiple sites per domain, such as our
   [6]www.netcraft.com and [7]uptime.netcraft.com sites. As domains
   bought for speculative reasons are abandoned, we can expect a higher
   proportion of sites to be [8]active.


  Not all hosters retrenching

   It's not all doom and gloom for web hosters. [9]Dialtone Internet is
   expanding into Europe, [10]opening a new data center here in the
   United Kingdom this month, following in the steps of [11]Rackspace
   which [12]opened a European data center in the United Kingdom last
   year. We have noticed a trend of people moving sites from the US to
   their own countries as dedicated server facilities pick up around the
   world, and hosting in the US is no longer significantly cheaper for
   many countries as bandwidth costs drop.


  Review of 2001

   The year has seen dramatic changes, with the meltdown of some internet
   infrastructure companies and the slide in technology stock prices.

   In the survey we have seen a very significant slowing in the growth of
   the number of sites compared to the boom times of 2000. Reduction in
   web advertising demand and rates has caused difficulties at a number
   of free mass hosters, targeting residential and small business users,
   such as [13]Webjump, [14]Namezero and [15]Homestead. This and the
   [16]Code Red virus and [17]Nimda worm has caused the monthly growth in
   numbers to be somewhat erratic in the second half of the year.

   Mainly through gains at some of the remaining mass hosters such as
   [18]Namezero and [19]Network Solutions, IIS has seen its share
   increase in the full survey during the second half of the year.
   However for active sites IIS and Apache share has changed little
   during the year.

   The most significant [20]web business failure of the year was Exodus,
   weighed down by a huge debt burden of $3.2 billion and running out of
   cash (though ISP [21]PSInet's bankruptcy with $2.6 billion is also
   significant). However with Exodus' high-end customer list it was
   relatively quickly [22]bought for $755 million by the canny and
   cash-rich telco [23]Cable & Wireless. C&W had [24]previously bought
   another high-end hoster Digital Island for $340 million. C&W has also
   [25]just announced it is acquiring PSINet Japan. Together with its own
   facilities C&W is now a formidable player in the high-end of the
   hosting market, though integrating the businesses does present the
   risk of it all going wrong.

   Lower down in the hosting market dedicated server companies such as
   [26]Rackspace seem to be doing well, gaining share from the first
   generation colocation companies by offering convenience, service and
   reasonable cost effectiveness. Their target market is both those
   growing out of shared hosting, and those currently using leased lines
   but finding that unsatisfactory.

   On the technology side the development of Server Blades is an exciting
   change, perhaps the most significant change in hosting technology
   since the introduction of the 1U server. Although offering the
   potential of purchase cost as well as space saving, to date they are
   offered at a high price, and it will be hard to break out of this
   situation during the Internet economy downturn. Current solutions like
   [27]Cobalt RAQ servers offer better value for money.

   The downturn in the Internet economy also affects the Cobalt server
   solution though, with Sun's Chief Operating Officer Ed Zander
   [28]remarking that the acquisition of Cobalt Networks hadn't been all
   that Sun had hoped. We have noticed that some dedicated server
   providers, such as Rackspace, have stopped offering a Cobalt server
   option, instead offering Linux systems with third party web control
   panels such as [29]Plesk Server Administrator or [30]Sphera
   HostingDirector rather than Cobalt's web-based user interface. Both
   Sphera HostingDirector and the recently launched [31]Covalent
   Enterprise Ready Server offer centralised web-based management of
   multiple servers as alternative solutions to the [32]Cobalt Control
   Station.

   Despite the failure of many internet based companies over the last
   year, there has been steady growth in the numbers of sites performing
   encrypted transactions over the internet. Verisign [33]reported in
   July that 87% of SSL certificates were being renewed, while our own
   SSL Survey shows growth of around 37% over the year.



Internet Research from Netcraft.

Netcraft does commercial internet research projects. These include
custom cuts on the Web Server Survey data, hosting industry analysis,
corporate use of internet technology and bespoke projects. All of the data
is gathered through network exploration, not teleresearch.

sales@netcraft.com


Network Security Testing from Netcraft.

Netcraft provides automated network security testing of customer networks
and consultancy audits of ecommerce sites, Clients include IBM,
Hewlett Packard, Deloitte & Touche, Energis, Britannic Asset Management,
Guardian Royal Exchange, Lloyds of London, Laura Ashley, etc.

Details at http://www.netcraft.com/security/


References

   1. http://www.netcraft.com/survey/year1.html
   2. http://www.netcraft.com/survey/index-200108.html
   3. http://www.icann.org/tlds/
   4. http://www.register.com/
   5. http://www.netcraft.com/whats?site=futuresite.register.com
   6. http://www.netcraft.com/
   7. http://uptime.netcraft.com/
   8. http://www.netcraft.com/survey/index-200007.html#active
   9. http://www.dialtone.com/
  10. http://eu.dialtone.com/
  11. http://www.rackspace.com/
  12.
http://www.rackspace.co.uk/about/newsroom/listings.php3?hidelistings=1&detail=1055
  13. http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1005-200-6773687.html?tag=mn_hd
  14. http://www.namezero.com/
  15. http://anything.homestead.com/
  16. http://www.cert.org/advisories/CA-2001-19.html
  17. http://www.cert.org/body/advisories/CA200126_FA200126.html
  18. http://www.namezero.com/
  19. http://www.netsol.com/
  20. http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1004-200-7309927.html
  21. http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1004-200-6155076.html
  22.
http://investor.cnet.com/investor/news/newsitem/0-9900-1028-8026522-0.html
  23. http://www.cw.com/
  24. http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1004-200-5915414.html
  25. http://www.cw.com/th_05.asp?ID=mc_506dec1101
  26. http://www.rackspace.com/
  27. http://www.cobalt.com/products/raq/
  28. http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1003-200-7383790.html?tag=rltdnws
  29. http://www.plesk.com/html/products/psa/
  30. http://www.sphera.com/
  31. http://www.covalent.com/products/enterprise_ready/
  32. http://www.cobalt.com/products/controlstation/
  33. http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1005-200-6695510.html


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Mike
-- 
Mike Prettejohn
mhp@@netcraft.com  Phone +44 1225 447500  Fax +44 1225 448600
Netcraft  Rockfield House  Granville Road Bath BA1 9BQ  England